I love the first weekend of NFL football. Every pundit across the country has had a chance to weigh in on their Super Bowl picks, division winners, and teams to watch this year. Then after week one when everything gets thrown out, they immediately start jumping on the band wagon of another team only to have to jump ship in two more weeks.
My best suggestion for succeeding in Craction is to go one week at a time and take very little stock in what a team has done in previous weeks, rather focus on the big picture, which at times, may include researching back a few years.
For example, this week you see five games featuring teams having to cross 2 time zones to play, which includes four west coast teams travelling east. Based on a quick look at years past, stats show that west coast teams traditionally struggle covering the lines in games that they have to travel east for, especially ones that start at 1pm EST. Here are the teams on the east coast hosting west coast teams:
- Pittsburgh - 14.5 Seattle
- Buffalo -3.5 Oakland
- Washington -4 Arizona
- New England - 6 San Diego
It's not fool-proof though...there's a good chance that all four home teams listed above will not cover but grouping all four together should give you a good Week 2 base score.
Wait...one last thing to note to round out your five picks of the week. I mentioned before about five games with an east vs. west theme, which means there is one east coast team flying west...kind of a mis-leading statement as the team I am referencing is an NFC East team (Dallas) but they are located as you know in the middle of the country. In saying that, I love them this week laying 3 on the road...
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